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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

State Rep Elect McCready Tops Romney, President Obama, and Democratic Challenger Coston in 40th District.

They say the 40th district which consists of  Birmingham, Bloomfield Hills (both the City and the Township)n and the eastern half of West Bloomfield (everything west  of Inkster and all of precinct 15)  is  traditionally  Republican territory..On November 6th  Mitt Romney carried the district by about 4000 vote over  President Obama. Curiously both Presidential candidates were bested by Republican Michael McCready a candidate for state representative seeking state office for the first time.

Therefore we  thought it would be interesting to compare 40th district votes precinct by precinct,.It would give our readers a chance to see how their votes impacted locally.We know Ohio and Virginia were blue states but what about the precincts we live in like Bloomfield 13 or Birmingham 2. And what and where exactly is Bloomfield 13 or Birmingham 2  anyway ?

But first first the obligatory map.......



To get a bearing on the map, The City of Bloomfield Hills is the slightly left of center rectangle with what looks to be a mountain the middle. The diagonal line upon which the City is placed is Woodward Avenue. Going left by guess and by golly you can more or less make out Lahser, Telegraph, and Orchard Lake. Rd. From top to bottom the bottom border is for all intents and purposes is 14 mile. The bottom border of the City of Bloomfield Hills is Quarton and the line below the top most precincts is Square Lake.

Republican McCready carried all red precincts. Democrat  Dorian Coston  won the blue

 Democrat  Coston  captured all precincts in West Bloomfield except #10 (Beth Ahm) and #16 (West Hills Middle School) . 

McCready carried all others except for the Bloomfield Township Precincts of  #17(Township Fire # 4), #25 (Fox Hills Elementary 2) and  Bloomfield 27 (St, Paul Methodist Church).

click on graph  to make larger

 On the National level President Obama carried Oakland County getting 53% of the vote. 

click on graph  to make larger

  In the Presidential  election The Democrats won all  of West Bloomfield except precinct 16 which voted Republican. The Republicans captured all of Bloomfield Hills (City and Township) and Birmingham  except for the Bloomfield Township precincts #17, #25,  #27 ,#20 (Fox Hills 1)  #16 (West Maple 2) Bloomfield .#3 (Doyle Center), # 10 (Doyle Center 2), Bloomfield #7 ( Marian High School), Birmingham #8 (Adams Road Fire Station) and Birmingham #3 (Derby School).

We were curious about the Democratic gains in the Presidential election as compared to the local State Rep contest so we prepared the following chart based on data from Oakland County Elections. Because the graph looks at more than  one issue it is some what complex. The first two columns look at the Straight Party votes each party earned.This is a single vote for all candidates of the same party. Then we looked at the actual vote totals given to Romney and President Obama. These totals also include the straight ticket Vote and are the the actual final vote  for each candidate in that precinct. For reference next to each candidates vote we included what percent was from a straight  party vote.These percents are shade in grey. Then we looked Democrat Coston and Republican McCready's votes as though they were in a four way race with Mitt Romney and President Obama. We were trying to figure out who helped or hindered who. The help aspect is called "coat tails" meaning weaker candidates are carried along by holding on the leader's coat. In our imaginary "four" man race the winner's total is printed in white on either a red for Republican or Blue for Democrat background . The vote total for the winner of the actual two man race is printed in either red or blue on a white background  Black type on white always indicates a losing effort. We will share our analysis with you  in a future article.



Straight Party
Romney
Obama
Coston
McCready

Precinct
Republican
Democrat
Total
%SP
Total
%SP
Total
Total

Bloomfield 1
252
152
432
58
330
46
261
448
Bloomfield TV
Bloomfield 2
180
131
271
66
238
55
193
276
Whethersfield Apts
Bloomfield 3
294
239
531
55
541
44
437
547
Doyle Center
Bloomfield 4
339
207
548
62
420
49
335
565
Model Hs
Bloomfield 5
261
144
458
57
316
46
280
440
Andover Hs
Bloomfield 6
366
133
658
56
359
37
265
687
Township Fire #2
Bloomfield 7
141
132
250
56
272
49
220
258
Marian HS
Bloomfield 8
723
141
1314
55
494
29
338
1347
Covington school
Bloomfield 9
408
190
718
57
468
41
367
723
Detroit  Country Day
Bloomfield 10
343
277
610
56
619
45
515
611
Doyle Center 2
Bloomfield 11
364
247
611
60
543
45
428
614
West Maple Elementary
Bloomfield 12
260
270
492
53
494
55
417
482
BH Babtist Church
Bloomfield 13
306
109
569
54
336
32
237
591
Harlan Elementary
Bloomfield 14
439
120
706
62
381
31
271
726
Eastover school
Bloomfield 15
220
104
377
58
213
49
174
386
Conant School
Bloomfield 16
203
223
403
50
462
48
384
414
West Maple Elementary 2
Bloomfield 17
109
116
187
58
232
50
196
186
Township Fire # 4
Bloomfield 18
232
133
388
60
305
44
243
396
East Hills Middle School
Bloomfield 19
365
164
599
61
361
45
277
611
Way Elementary
Bloomfield 20
181
202
367
49
403
50
336
373
Fox Hills Elementary
Bloomfield 21
327
165
558
59
347
48
280
567
Adam Woods
Bloomfield 22
341
234
623
55
526
44
421
629
Township Central Fire Station
Bloomfield 23
278
88
491
57
234
38
179
486
Detroit  Country Day-Bradway
Bloomfield 24
303
139
476
64
306
45
246
487
Lahser HS
Bloomfield 25
77
200
127
61
341
59
308
130
Fox Hills Elementary 2
Bloomfield 26
281
122
501
56
295
41
223
519
International  Academy
Bloomfield 27
120
178
196
61
322
55
279
199
St. Paul Methodist
Bloomfield 28
204
48
367
56
168
29
117
382
RV Hackett Hall
Bloomfield 29
297
99
473
63
235
42
185
459
BH  Babtist Church #2
Bloomfield 30
376
247
690
54
618
40
477
706
Bloomfield Hils Middle School
Bloomfield 31
269
62
386
70
142
44
112
393
The Heathers Club
Bloomfield 32
255
215
433
59
421
51
354
450
Bowers Farm
Total
9114
5231
15810
58
11742
45
9355
16088


REP TICKET
DemTicket
Romney

Obama

Coston
McCready

W. Bloomfield 1
283
413
733
39
930
44
833
682
Orchard Lake School
W. Bloomfield 3
153
207
355
43
393
53
352
334
Pine Hill Middlebelt
W. Bloomfield 7
177
357
425
42
756
47
656
396
Doherty School
W. Bloomfield 9
186
366
463
40
812
45
685
443
Beth AL Farmington schools
W. Bloomfield 10
389
387
882
44
969
40
799
830
Beth AL Birmingham Schools
W. Bloomfield 11
233
525
544
43
1057
50
948
483
5300 Maple Lutheran Church
W. Bloomfield 13
297
331
706
42
868
38
723
658
West Hills Middle School
W. Bloomfield 15
365
539
795
46
1164
46
1012
737
Library
W. Bloomfield 16
452
358
942
48
823
43
679
894
Lone Pine Elementary
W. Bloomfield 17
284
447
726
39
961
47
843
646
Holy Spirit Lutheran Orchard Lk
W. Bloomfield 19
188
540
456
41
969
56
891
415
Covenant Babtist 5800 maple
Total
3007
4470
7027
43
9702

8421
6518
Total

Rep Ticket
DemTicket
Romney
%SP
Obama

Coston
McCready

Birmingham 1
471
218
883
53
633
34
448
933
Holy Name
Birmingham 2
440
255
816
54
685
37
477
894
Derby Middle School
Birmingham 3
335
271
674
50
675
40
521
713
Derby Middle School
Birmingham 4
566
166
1035
55
566
29
389
1091
 First Presbyterian Church,
Birmingham 5
422
212
842
50
652
33
476
902
Midvale
Birmingham 6
506
264
916
55
727
36
536
927
Municipal Building
Birmingham 7
389
279
769
51
722
39
550
796
Pierce School
Birmingham 8
318
269
621
51
633
42
481
629
Adams Fire Station
Birmingham 9
291
217
551
53
532
41
419
538
Ice Arena
Total
3738
2151
7107
53
5825
37
4297
7423
Total

Rep Ticket
DemTicket
Romney
%SP
Obama

Coston
McCready

City of BH 1
604
221
1014
60
535
41
405
1052
City Hall
City of BH 2
491
128
830
59
381
34
481
834
Church
Total
1095
349
1844
59
916
38
886
1886

Grand Total

Rep Ticket
DemTicket
Romney
%SP
Obama
%SP
Coston
McCready

Bloomfield Township
9914
5231
15180
65
11742
45
9355
16088

West Bloomfield
3007
4470
6946
43
9387
48
8421
6518

Birmingham
3738
2151
7107
53
5825
37
4297
7423

City of BH
1095
349
1844
59
916
38
698
1886

Total
17754
12201
31077
57
27870
44
22771
31915







.All of the above data, maps, and graphs we used  are  available to anyone thanks
Oakland County Elections under the direction of County Clerk Bill Bullard Jr. Clicking on the red link will take you to their website. In addition you will find similar data for all  County elections  including City of Bloomfield Hills, Birmingham, and Bloomfield Township and West Bloomfield elections going back almost twenty years. There is also a complete section on campaign financing telling one, who spent what on what and how that money was arrived at. It is easy for anyone to read. We present it here simply as convenience. As often the case in politics and life in general  things change. Mr. Bullard was not re-elected as County Clerk in the November 6th election. We hope his successor Lisa Brown will continue what Mr. Bullard and  the county have started . Regrettably we live in a time where providing public information often is secondary to cost cutting . We hope that will not be the case with Oakland County Elections and data and the assistance they provide.




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